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Good Morning
May. 6th, 2020 09:14 am
May. 6th, 2020
More Or Less But Actually Less
May. 6th, 2020 10:24 amRemember when Matt Hancock of the government said that they would reach 100,000 tests a day on COVID 19 by the end of April? Well, the figure they gave on the last day - that deadline was last Thursday - was 122,347. So everyone was happy. Well, that figure is somewhat distorted. 100,000 tests were not done in a day They started to include home testing kits which were sent out on that day. Some were sent without return labels. Some may not be used. It is the epidemiological equivalence of "the cheque is in the post". In other words, they changed the number of tests completed midstream. In fact, 40,000 of which two-thirds were home kits and the rest to hospitals that requested them, were posted on that day. So roughly 82,000 tests were actually carried out.
In economics and policy studies there is a law called Goodheart's Law which states "Goodhart's law (an adage named after economist Charles Goodhart) is when a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure."
One way in which this can occur is individuals trying to anticipate the effect of a policy and then taking actions that alter its outcome such as that with these tests. So imposing a target distorts the measure. Not too dissimilar to Heisenbergs Uncertainty Principle. In its defence targets are goals to be met and without it, we would have not gotten this far. Massaging the figures like this though is not on.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m000htw2
In economics and policy studies there is a law called Goodheart's Law which states "Goodhart's law (an adage named after economist Charles Goodhart) is when a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure."
One way in which this can occur is individuals trying to anticipate the effect of a policy and then taking actions that alter its outcome such as that with these tests. So imposing a target distorts the measure. Not too dissimilar to Heisenbergs Uncertainty Principle. In its defence targets are goals to be met and without it, we would have not gotten this far. Massaging the figures like this though is not on.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m000htw2
Make It Loud
May. 6th, 2020 08:04 pmI feel I need some loud jazz -
Tim Berne's Caos Totale － Bass Voodoo
Last Exit - Prayer
Ronald Shannon Jackson - Undressing
The Peter Brotzmann Octet - Responsible / For Jan Van De Ven
Tim Berne's Caos Totale － Bass Voodoo
Last Exit - Prayer
Ronald Shannon Jackson - Undressing
The Peter Brotzmann Octet - Responsible / For Jan Van De Ven
Just Wondering
May. 6th, 2020 09:36 pmDid you have a favourite teacher when you were in school?
Did you ever let them know what impact they had in your life?
If you could talk to them now, what would you say?
If you didn't have a favourite teacher -
Are you an aisle or a window person?
Do you wish you could spend more time alone or more time with people?
Did you ever let them know what impact they had in your life?
If you could talk to them now, what would you say?
If you didn't have a favourite teacher -
Are you an aisle or a window person?
Do you wish you could spend more time alone or more time with people?
Recently Watched
May. 6th, 2020 10:41 pmTonight I watched online the latest The Flash episode and the latest episode of DC's Legends Of Tomorrow. Then I watched the best movie by Tim Burton on DVD - Miss Peregrine's Home For Peculiar Children. One of the best fantasy films I have seen for a long time.
Next up - Avengers Endgame again.
Next up - Avengers Endgame again.
R.I.P. Florian Schneider
May. 6th, 2020 10:52 pmKraftwerk founder Florian Schneider dies at 73
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-52564281
Kraftwerk - Radio Activity
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-52564281
Kraftwerk - Radio Activity
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